Is There Any Likelihood That Congress Can Be a Verify on Trump?



Politics


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November 7, 2024

Republicans grabbed the Senate, however Democrats may nonetheless take the Home—and it doesn’t matter what occurs, they’ve an obligation to combat Trump with the whole lot they’ve.

Hakeem Jeffries and Mike Johnson throughout a ceremony in Emancipation Corridor on the US Capitol in Washington, DC, on Tuesday, September 24, 2024.

(Al Drago / Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos)

When folks requested me within the remaining weeks earlier than the 2024 election about the place I believed issues had been headed, I typically urged that the competition would possible resemble one in every of two previous contests. One choice was a consequence like that of Barack Obama’s win in 2012, the place Democrats, as an incumbent celebration, stored the White Home by a narrower, although nonetheless comfy, margin and held the Senate, but did not take the Home. The opposite choice was a extra daunting one: that of Ronald Reagan’s win in 1980, the place Republicans challenged a Democratic incumbent, received the White Home decisively, and took the Senate, but did not take the Home.

We bought the Reagan choice, solely worse. This yr, People noticed what civil rights lawyer Connie Rice describes as “a decisive darkish crimson wave that drowned the higher angels of progress.” It isn’t simply that Donald Trump is a lot extra dangerously inclined than Reagan who, although he was the enduring conservative determine of the mid-Twentieth century, would have a tough time discovering a spot in Trump’s GOP. It’s additionally that right this moment’s Republican Get together is definitely way more carefully aligned with Trump—in some instances out of precise settlement, in different instances out of worry of Trump’s penchant for retribution—than it ever was with Reagan within the Eighties. Trump will, possibly, use the facility of the presidency extra aggressively and recklessly than his predecessors did.

However simply because the duty goes to be troublesome doesn’t imply Democrats can throw within the towel. They’ve to seek out methods to test and steadiness this president. And, for this combat, historical past is instructive.

A few of the congressional dynamics within the coming months and years could possibly be just like the Reagan period. Within the Eighties, Democrats and their allies within the labor, environmental, and civil rights actions initially constructed bipartisan congressional coalitions to upend a number of the fortieth president’s most cherished initiatives. Finally, they discovered methods to regain management of the Senate and develop their Home majority. Recognizing the prospect that historical past can repeat is vitally vital for the organizing of an efficient opposition to the second Trump presidency.

It’s additionally essential to acknowledge that we have no idea exactly how the 2024 race has ended.

As a result of key races for the Home and Senate stay undecided, lots about this election continues to be up for grabs. With thousands and thousands of ballots but to be counted—principally within the closely Democratic states of California, Washington, and Oregon—we don’t even know what the ultimate well-liked vote depend shall be.

Present Concern

However right here’s a few of what we all know as of Thursday morning.

THE SENATE: With the defeat of Democratic incumbents Jon Tester of Montana and Sherrod Brown of Ohio, in addition to the flipping of a traditionally Democratic seat in West Virginia, the Republicans now have no less than a 52–48 majority within the Senate. That GOP majority may develop, as Democratic incumbents are trailing in two further states. Republicans may find yourself with a 53-47 majority, maybe even 54–46.

The scale of that majority issues. Whether it is narrower, then appeals to Republicans who’ve distanced themselves from Trump at essential moments previously, similar to Alaska’s Lisa Murkowski and Maine’s Susan Collins, in addition to a handful of different GOP senators who’ve damaged with Trump on particular person points, may but block the brand new president’s most noxious cupboard picks and initiatives.

Throughout Trump’s first time period, lecturers unions and their allies in Alaska and Maine satisfied Murkowski and Collins to oppose Trump’s collection of billionaire Betsy DeVos to function secretary of schooling. Murkowski and Collins, urged on by activists with teams similar to MoveOn, joined Arizona Senator John McCain in voting to save lots of the Reasonably priced Care Act.

If the Republican majority is wider, it is going to be tougher to maneuver the Senate. However labor, environmental, schooling, civil rights and civil liberties activists within the states may discover openings—not simply with Murkowski and Collins but additionally with the 20 Republicans who shall be up for reelection in 2026 (versus 13 Democrats).

THE HOUSE: Management of the Home continues to be up for grabs, and, since this combat will decide whether or not Democrats preserve any legislative management in Washington, the way it seems is vitally essential. As I write, a number of dozen races are but to be referred to as. Republicans have the benefit. However a considerable variety of the undecided seats are on the West Coast—in California, Washington, and Oregon. There’s nonetheless a distant chance that New York Democrat Hakeem Jeffries may emerge because the speaker of the Home. If that occurs, nonetheless, his majority could be minuscule and his challenges nice. His first duty could be to keep away from the frequent mistake of Democrats who greet a brand new Republican administration with simplistic pledges to hunt avenues of cooperation. If Trump does one thing constructive, in fact Democrats can work with him. But when he strikes within the unsuitable path, as he has promised to do, Home Democrats have to make use of each instrument at their disposal to test and steadiness Trump. And they need to be clear about their willingness to take action on behalf of an American citizens that, in response to CNN exit polling, believes by a 55 % majority that Trump is “too excessive.”

Whether or not they’re narrowly within the majority or narrowly in opposition, that is the time for congressional Democrats to indicate some backbone. They should be brave on points the place too lots of them have been cautious—together with defenses of weak and threatened communities, dramatically elevating the minimal wage, increasing labor rights, rejecting tax cuts for the wealthy, strengthening Social Safety, Medicare, Medicaid, and the Reasonably priced Care Act, and opposing the horrific Israeli assault on Gaza.

Agency strains within the sand should be drawn early and maintained. There must be positions which are nonnegotiable. If there will not be, Trump will take full benefit of the openings that Democrats hand him.

Activists inside and out of doors of the Democratic Get together must remind elected leaders of this reality.

As annoyed, indignant, and overwhelmed as they might be by Tuesday’s election outcomes, those that wish to combat again towards Trump and Trumpism should do not forget that they’ve energy of their very own. They will use it to clarify to the management of the Democratic caucuses within the Home and the Senate that, simply as Trump will declare a private mandate, they have to declare a constitutional mandate to test and steadiness Trump’s excesses. It isn’t sufficient for individuals who oppose Trump’s insurance policies to foyer congressional Republicans to do the fitting factor on a specific problem, even when such lobbying is essential. It’s simply as important to stress Democrats to face sturdy on behalf of the constituencies they’re speculated to symbolize.

THE STATES: Democrats presently function the governors of 23 states and three territories. In quite a lot of these states, from New York to California, the celebration additionally controls the legislature as effectively. These states want to ascertain themselves as beachheads towards Trump’s worst excesses. There shall be particular fights between the brand new administration and state officers on points starting from immigration to the local weather disaster to abortion rights, elevating wages and schooling—points on which, in quite a lot of instances, referendums outcomes from crimson and blue states recommend that the American persons are much more progressive than the leaders of both celebration acknowledge.

Sensible methods, schooling, and organizing are going to be wanted at each degree of campaigning and governing. It received’t be straightforward. There shall be defeats. However there may even be victories; there at all times are, even within the darkest instances. The duty is to prepare towards a politics the place there are fewer losses and extra wins for the priorities that matter most to People.“What can we do?” asks Consultant Greg Casar, a progressive Democrat from Austin, Texas, who referred to as for a Gaza ceasefire, took daring stances in favor of financial, social, and racial justice, and on Tuesday received reelection with 67 % of the vote. Casar solutions: “We manage, look after one another, and combat again by way of the worry and anger. We construct a brand new Democratic Get together that’s for ALL working folks, unafraid to confront billionaires and company greed. We defeat Trump and Trumpism—not in a single election, however with one motion.”

We cannot again down

We now confront a second Trump presidency.

There’s not a second to lose. We should harness our fears, our grief, and sure, our anger, to withstand the damaging insurance policies Donald Trump will unleash on our nation. We rededicate ourselves to our position as journalists and writers of precept and conscience.

As we speak, we additionally metal ourselves for the combat forward. It can demand a fearless spirit, an knowledgeable thoughts, sensible evaluation, and humane resistance. We face the enactment of Mission 2025, a far-right supreme court docket, political authoritarianism, growing inequality and report homelessness, a looming local weather disaster, and conflicts overseas. The Nation will expose and suggest, nurture investigative reporting, and stand collectively as a group to maintain hope and chance alive. The Nation’s work will proceed—because it has in good and not-so-good instances—to develop various concepts and visions, to deepen our mission of truth-telling and deep reporting, and to additional solidarity in a nation divided.

Armed with a exceptional 160 years of daring, unbiased journalism, our mandate right this moment stays the identical as when abolitionists first based The Nation—to uphold the rules of democracy and freedom, function a beacon by way of the darkest days of resistance, and to ascertain and battle for a brighter future.

The day is darkish, the forces arrayed are tenacious, however because the late Nation editorial board member Toni Morrison wrote “No! That is exactly the time when artists go to work. There isn’t any time for despair, no place for self-pity, no want for silence, no room for worry. We communicate, we write, we do language. That’s how civilizations heal.”

I urge you to face with The Nation and donate right this moment.

Onwards,

Katrina vanden Heuvel
Editorial Director and Writer, The Nation

John Nichols



John Nichols is a nationwide affairs correspondent for The Nation. He has written, cowritten, or edited over a dozen books on subjects starting from histories of American socialism and the Democratic Get together to analyses of US and international media methods. His newest, cowritten with Senator Bernie Sanders, is the New York Occasions bestseller It is OK to Be Indignant About Capitalism.

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